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8月1日国际市场:欧洲钒铁价格上涨 预期将进一步提升

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 Ferro vanadium prices continued to rise in Europe on Friday August 1, as nervousness persists over the imposition of further sanctions on Russia, and suggestions emerge of increasing long positions.
据英国《金属导报》报道:8月1日周五欧洲钒铁价格继续上涨,随着西方国家进一步对俄罗斯实施制裁,持续紧张的气氛愈浓,投资人认为市场多头仓位增加。
 
Metal Bulletin's quotation ticked up to $24.70-25.60 per kg on Friday, from $24.60-25.30 on Wednesday, and most market participants expect further rises in the next few days.
外盘报价显示,周五欧洲钒铁价格自周三的24.60-25.30美元/千克上涨至24.70-25.60美元/千克。并且,大多数市场参与者认为后期价格仍将继续拉涨。
 
There are also continuing indications that a two tier market may be developing, as consumers are able to buy at consistently lower prices, while traders appear to be buying material at the top end of the quotation, and very little business has been concluded in the middle of the range.
有各种迹象表明,欧洲钒铁市场正发生双重变化。一方面,下游商家依旧能够购买到低价货源;另一方面,中间商以高价从市场充收购原料,但在报价区间范围内几乎没有实质性的成交达成。
  
"It's looking strong - the demand is there and we don't see it coming off. " a trader said.
“市场看起来较为稳固,因为需求是存在的,我们看不到行情有任何走低的迹象”,一位商家表示。
  
"Traders are thinking the market is going up and they're covering their short positions… When they realise they've bought too much, it will come down, but [right now], ferro-vanadium is substantially undervalued," he added.
“商家考虑提高产品售价,他们纷纷开始补仓。当他们意识到他们已经买了太多货源,产品价格可能或走低。但现在钒铁价格被严重低估”,他补充道。
  
There is also a possible shortage of material, according to the trader, as producers are out of the market, which could also help to support prices, although consumer business is rare.
根据贸易商透露,还有一个可能是材料短缺,由于生产商多维持场外观望状态,这也有助于对产品价格形成支撑,尽管下游采购相对稀少。
  "There's no consumer business any more, but traders are definitely trying to find material," a producer said. "There's definitely not much left below $25 [per kg], but there's not much above $25.50 yet. We don't have much to sell for August, though."
“市场不再有采购业务出现,但事实上交易商仍在试图寻找材料“,生产商说。“市场没剩下多少低于25美元/公斤的货源,,但高于25.50美元/千克的成交也不多。尽管如此,8月份我们没有多少库存可销售。”
  The sanctions on Russia, arising from its involvement in the unrest in Ukraine, have affected sentiment for the most part, a second trader said, adding that he believes it is unlikely the country will cease exports - and even if it does, other supply is available.
由于俄罗斯牵涉乌克兰动乱,西方国家对其实施了严厉制裁,明显影响了投资商的情绪,第二个商家表示,他相信俄罗斯不大可能会停止出口钒铁。即便如此,其他市场仍能购买到可用的货源。
  
"I'm continuing to keep an eye on Russia for ferro-titanium but less for ferro-vanadium. For ferro-vanadium, there's South Africa and China. I think China has more of an influence," he said.
“我继续密切关注俄罗斯钒铁行情的动态,但是没有太多的变化。南非和中国都可以供应钒铁产品,但我认为中国对欧洲市场的影响更大”,他说。
  
Chinese offer prices have reportedly been rising, which is likely to have a knock-on effect on the European price in coming weeks.
中国提供的钒铁产品价格已经上调,在未来几周欧洲市场钒品价格可能会产生连锁反应。
 
(原文翻译自英国《金属导报》,如有疑问请参照原文为主)

 


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